Will Lula win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
42%chance
Volume
$300.0K
Liquidity
$0
Trades
0
Traders
0
Order book · live
YES bookbid 42¢ · ask 42¢ · spread 0¢
BidSize
42¢2
4¢1
AskSize
42¢2
NO bookbid 58¢ · ask 58¢ · spread 0¢
BidSize
58¢2
AskSize
58¢2
96¢1
About this market
Resolves YES if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is declared the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), accounting for any second-round runoff. Voting day is October 4, 2026; runoff (if any) is October 25.
How this resolves
Resolution source
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) official result
Resolution criteria
{
"event": "brazil_2026_presidential_election",
"candidate": "lula"
}