Will the U.S. enter a recession in 2026?

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About this market

Resolves YES if the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) declares a U.S. recession that begins in any month of 2026, regardless of when the announcement is made.

How this resolves

{
  "event": "nber_recession_start",
  "window": [
    "2026-01-01",
    "2026-12-31"
  ]
}